Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.044747 0.052173 0.060332 0.069945 0.080945 0.093122 0.107605
2025-06-08 0.032658 0.042112 0.053464 0.068033 0.086166 0.107914 0.135892
2025-06-15 0.026806 0.037721 0.051865 0.071383 0.097443 0.130833 0.176619
2025-06-22 0.021476 0.032721 0.048334 0.071320 0.103968 0.148279 0.212480
2025-06-29 0.017068 0.027993 0.044152 0.069386 0.107278 0.161410 0.243743
2025-07-06 0.014010 0.024586 0.041161 0.068457 0.111540 0.175946 0.278179
2025-07-13 0.012583 0.023436 0.041326 0.072178 0.122998 0.201967 0.331928
2025-07-20 0.011206 0.022084 0.040888 0.074745 0.132773 0.226213 0.385160
2025-07-27 0.009403 0.019620 0.038153 0.072991 0.135097 0.238681 0.420689
2025-08-03 0.008075 0.017785 0.036211 0.072267 0.138931 0.253768 0.461621
2025-08-10 0.006787 0.015778 0.033619 0.069945 0.139549 0.263282 0.493766
2025-08-17 0.005804 0.014210 0.031617 0.068414 0.141327 0.274808 0.530182
2025-08-24 0.005122 0.013188 0.030596 0.068745 0.146801 0.293745 0.582068
2025-08-31 0.004360 0.011834 0.028671 0.066971 0.147957 0.304824 0.620621
2025-09-07 0.004092 0.011608 0.029157 0.070329 0.159785 0.337157 0.701804
2025-09-14 0.003621 0.010778 0.028152 0.070295 0.164564 0.356206 0.759078
2025-09-21 0.003104 0.009717 0.026433 0.068400 0.165132 0.366874 0.800737
2025-09-28 0.002715 0.008919 0.025217 0.067491 0.167712 0.381792 0.852055
2025-10-05 0.002597 0.008873 0.025880 0.071166 0.180975 0.420047 0.954129
2025-10-12 0.002434 0.008659 0.026074 0.073703 0.191867 0.454137 1.050082
2025-10-19 0.002115 0.007889 0.024658 0.071972 0.192508 0.466067 1.099932
2025-10-26 0.001874 0.007316 0.023688 0.071257 0.195497 0.483381 1.162683
2025-11-02 0.001613 0.006608 0.022209 0.068966 0.194313 0.491146 1.204966